2022 Memorial Tournament odds, field notes, best bets and picks

May 31, 2022

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From Fort Worth, Texas, to Dublin, Ohio, the PGA Tour has moved its way north and it’s time for a weekend at Jack’s place.

Last year’s Memorial was, well, unique. Jon Rahm had the tournament all but locked up, tested positive for COVID-19 and was forced to withdraw after the third round, and the trophy eventually went to Patrick Cantlay, his second career win at Muirfield Village.

Like most years, the field is loaded. Rahm and Cantlay are joined by world No. 3 Cameron Smith, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, and Viktor Hovland.

Changes were made to the course over the last few years including the resurfacing of every green, adjustments to 14 of the putting surfaces, and No. 15 was completely redone.

Golf course

Muirfield Village | Par 72 | 7,533 yards

General view of the 16th hole during the final round of The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club on June 5, 2016 in Dublin, Ohio. (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)

Key stats

Strokes Gained: Tee to Green: The last five winners of the Memorial entered the week ranked inside the top 14 in SG: Tee to Green on the season.

Strokes Gained: Around the Green / Scrambling: Short game is key around Muirfield Village. Players who are unable to avoid bogeys around the greens are going to have trouble contending.

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead), 2. The Concession Golf Club, 3. Sea Island GC

Trending: 1. Shane Lowry (last three starts: T-3, 13, T-23), 2. Cameron Smith (MC, T-21, T-13), 3. Rory McIlroy (2, 5, 8)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Jon Rahm (7.3 percent), 2. Patrick Cantlay (5.3 percent), 3. Rory McIlroy (5.1 percent)

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Betting preview

Player	Odds
Jon Rahm	(+1000)
Rory McIlroy	(+1200)
Patrick Cantlay	(+1500)
Shane Lowry	(+2000)
Jordan Spieth	(+2000)
Cameron Smith	(+2000)
Viktor Hovland	(+2000)
Xander Schauffele	(+2000)
Collin Morikawa	(+2000)
Hideki Matsuyama	(+3000)

Shane Lowry on the first tee box during a practice round for the Masters at Augusta National Golf Club. Photo by Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports

The Irishman will be a popular pick, but for good reason. In his six stroke-play event starts in 2022, Lowry’s worst finish is T-23 (PGA Championship). Three of those weeks ended with top 5s.

Key stats rankings this season

SG: Tee to Green: 23rd
SG: ATG / Scrambling: 126th / 1st

2021 Memorial finish: T-6

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 10 (+230)

Rory McIlroy lines up a putt on the tenth green during the first round of the 2022 PGA Championship. (Photo: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports)

At some point, you would think this stretch of good play for McIlroy will result in a win. Second at the Masters, 5th at the Wells Fargo, and 8th at the PGA.

Key stats rankings this season

SG: Tee to Green: 3rd
SG: ATG / Scrambling: 38th / 35th

2021 Memorial finish: T-18

Bets to consider: Outright (+1200)

Cameron Young reacts after an eagle putt on the 17th hole during the third round of the 2022 NCAA Championship at Southern Hills Country Club. (Photo: Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports)

Like Scheffler, when the first win comes for Young, watch out. His last three finishes: T-3, T-2, T-3.

Key stats rankings this season

SG: Tee to Green: 14th
SG: ATG / Scrambling: 74th / 37th

2021 Memorial finish: N/A

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+140)

Davis Riley plays his shot from the sixth tee during the third round of the Charles Schwab Challenge golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

Since teeing it up alongside Will Zalatoris at the Zurich Classic, Riley has rattled off four-straight finishes of T-13 or better, including three top 10s.

Key stats rankings this season