2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, field notes, best bets and PGA Tour picks


The week after a major always feels like a hangover.

Four straight days of 12 hours on the couch, eating like crap, and maybe indulging in a few adult beverages will do it every time.

Now, it’s time for a quick turnaround as the PGA Tour heads back down to Texas for what feels like the 10th time.

The Charles Schwab Challenge, despite its spot on the schedule, has conjured up quite the field here in 2022. PGA champion Justin Thomas isn’t taking any time to celebrate his second career major win and is set to tee off Thursday at Colonial Country Club.

Joining him are World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland and Will Zalatoris.

Golf course

Colonial Country Club | Par 70 | 7,209 yards | Perry Maxwell design

Jason Kokrak hits an approach shot on the ninth hole during the final round of the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo: Tom Pennington/Getty Images)

Key statistics

Driving accuracy: Colonial has the fourth narrowest fairways on Tour.

Strokes Gained: Around the Green: Colonial has the seventh smallest greens on Tour, so players who get up and down when they inevitably miss the green will have a significant advantage this week.

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. TPC Sugarloaf, 2. Westchester CC, 3. Sea Island GC

Trending: 1. Scottie Scheffler (last three starts: T-18, T-15, MC), 2. Justin Thomas (T-35, T-5, 1), 3. Will Zalatoris (T-4, MC, 2)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Justin Thomas (7.8 percent), 2. Scottie Scheffler (6 percent), 3. Jordan Spieth (4.7 percent)

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Betting preview

Player Odds
Justin Thomas (+1000)
Jordan Spieth (+1200)
Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
Collin Morikawa (+1500)
Viktor Hovland (+2000)
Will Zalatoris (+2000)
Max Homa (+3000)
Sungjae Im (+3000)
Sam Burns (+3000)
Tommy Fleetwood (+3000)

 

2022 World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play

Abraham Ancer lines up his putt on the 5th hole during the fourth round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play. (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports)

Ancer, after a tough stretch to start 2022, finally put together a few good days of golf at Southern Hills and finished T-9. He’s returning to an event where he’s finished inside the top 15 in back-to-back seasons (T-14 in ’21, ’20).

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving accuracy: 3rd
  • SG: ATG: 201st

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+170)

Gooch

Talor Gooch plays a shot on the 12th hole during the first round of the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas. (Photo: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

After missing the cut at the AT&T Byron Nelson, Gooch cashed a top 20 last week at the PGA. Last season, he tied for 14th at Colonial and has played the weekend here for three straight seasons.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving accuracy: 71st
  • SG: ATG: 6th

Other stats to consider: 20th in SG: Approach

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+170)

World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba 2021

Brian Harman plays his shot from the seventh tee during the second round of the World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba in Playa del Carmen, Mexico. (Photo: Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images)

Harman has finished T-35 or better in three-straight starts, including a T-9 at the Wells Fargo. In his last five starts at Colonial, he’s finished inside the top 25 four times (T-31 in 2019), two of which are top 10s (T-8 last season).

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving accuracy: 11th
  • SG: ATG: 93rd

Bets to consider: Outright (+5000), Top 20 (+270)

2022 Wells Fargo Championship

Max Homa at the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship. (Photo: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports)

Homa has quickly become a bona fide winner on the PGA Tour. After winning the Wells Fargo Championship a few weeks ago, the 31-year-old tied for 13th at the PGA. He didn’t play here last year, missed the cut in 2020, but tied for 27th in 2019.

Key stats rankings this season

  • Driving accuracy: 72nd
  • SG: ATG: 139th

Other stats to consider: 18th in SG: OTT, 16th in SG: APP

Bets to consider: Outright (+3000), Top 20 (+140)



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