2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds, key statistics, and best bets

Despite personal feelings for the course, Torrey Pines delivered an amazing finish once again resulting in Luke List’s first win on the PGA Tour taking down the reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year Will Zalatoris in a playoff.

Another playoff loss for one of my outright picks. Hate to see it, but that just means we’re destined to land one soon.

Anyway, this week the PGA Tour heads down to the Monterey Peninsula for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am won last year by Daniel Berger. He opens the week as the second betting favorite (+1200), only behind Patrick Cantlay (+750).

Like many of the tournaments we see in the early calendar year, several venues will be used throughout the week before the final round is back at Pebble.

Course(s)

Pebble Beach Golf Links
Par 72
6,972 yards

Spyglass Hill
Par 72
7,041

Monterey Peninsula Country Club (Shore)
Par 71
6,957 yards

Weather

Key stats

Strokes Gained: Approach: Fairways are easy to find around these courses, so making sure the iron play stands above the rest is going to be critical.

Proximity from 100-150 yards: These three tracks are on the shorter side so the majority of the field is going to have a lot of wedges and short irons into greens. Stuffing those opportunities will maximize birdie potential.

Data Golf information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. La Quinta Country Club, 2. Cog Hill Golf and Country Club, 3. CordeValle

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Patrick Cantlay (13.5 percent), 2. Daniel Berger (7.8 percent), 3. Will Zalatoris (3.8 percent)

Latest Twilight 9 episode

This week on the show Andy and I dive into List’s win at the Farmers Insurance Open, how Zalatoris’ first win is coming soon, a preview for this week’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and tons more. Listen, download, and subscribe to the show for free here.

Apple | Spotify

Betting odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds a full list.

Betting card for the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Last week’s results (Farmers Insurance Open)

Tony Finau (Top 20): Miss
Maverick McNealy (Top 20): Miss
Will Zalatoris (Top 20): Hit, +155
Joaquin Niemann (Top South American): Hit, +250
Ryan Palmer (Top 20): Hit, +300
Luke List (Top 20): Hit +300

+802 (8.02 units) at the Farmers Insurance Open

+10.74 units in 2022

Jason Day – Top 20 (+115)

Jason Day plays his second shot on the fourth hole during the final round of the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines South Course in San Diego. (Photo: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports)

Day, after a hole-out eagle on the 14th, tied for the lead in the final round at the Farmers. After a few late bogeys, he dropped, but still finished inside the top five (T-3).

Day’s last seven starts at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am: T-7 (2021), 4 (2020), T-4 (2019), T-2 (2018), T-5 (2017), T-11 (2016), and T-4 (2015).

Maverick McNealy – Top 20 (+150)

Maverick McNealy hits his tee shot on the 11th hole during the first round of the Sony Open in Hawaii golf tournament at Waialae Country Club. (Photo: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports)

Despite his finishing position, McNealy continued his stretch of good play at the Farmers Insurance Open. He ended the week T-30, but really only struggled on Sunday making six bogeys before pouring in a birdie on 17 and an eagle on 18.

Mav finished solo runner-up to Berger at the Pro-Am last year and signed for T-5 the year before. The California native feels comfortable at Pebble and is in great position for another solid week.

Mito Pereira – Top 20 (+250)

Mito Pereira of Chile plays his shot from the tenth tee during the first round of the Houston Open at Memorial Park Golf Course on November 11, 2021, in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

Pereira has three straight top 30 finishes, with another one coming last week at the Farmers (T-25). He’s seventh on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach.

He finished solo third at the Fortinet Championship earlier this season on poa anna greens. On top of everything, the Chilean has won a pro-am event before on the Korn Ferry Tour.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout – Top South African (+180)

Christiaan Bezuidenhout hits his drive on the 10th hole during the final round of the Arnold Palmer Invitational. (Photo: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports)

Bezuidenhout grabbed a top 20 earlier this season at the Sony before two consecutive mediocre performances (T-40, T-46 the last two weeks). He has a thing for performing well at short golf courses.

*Based on Average Finish over the past 4 years.
**Min 3 starts.

— NinetoFiveSports (@925_Sports) February 1, 2022

*Full betting card will be on my Twitter sometime Wednesday